Double The Pleasure - Can Kevin Ayers follow in Big Brother's Footsteps?

Lost in the flurry of the big names in the draft, a player currently flying under the radar is Kevin Ayers, strong safety and brother to Titans linebacker Akeem Ayers, who tried out at the rookie mini camp for the Titans. An undrafted free agent out of Arizona State, Ayers played at Pasadena City College and then transferred to West Los Angeles College. At the beginning of his junior year he committed to Arizona State where he had a solid 2 years, playing in the secondary and excelling on special teams.

He would block 2 punts his senior year, one against Arizona State that led to a safety. A versatile player who has played linebacker, free safety and strong safety, Ayers is likely a long shot to make the Titans roster. However, he could very well make a good practice squad candidate where he could hone his skills and possibly make it onto the 53, either with the Titans or elsewhere.

Ayers is listed officially at 6' 0" tall and 202. His best 40 time was 4.57 with his official being 4.66 which compares favorably to other top drafted safeties. His vertical jump was 33 which is a bit sub-par compared to other top safeties drafted. He benched 19 reps.

It is often said timing and opportunity is everything and there is certainly opportunity at the safety position with the Titans. There is going to be a lot of competition at the position and watching Ayers when training camp opens should be interesting should he get the opportunity. His appearance at rookie minicamp was on a tryout basis and it is unclear whether he will get an invite to training camp.

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Predicting the 2013 Titans Roster

Predicting the Titans 53 at this point in the offseason is completely and totally crazy. So of course I did it.

OFFENSE (24)

Quarterbacks (2)

Jake Locker and Ryan Fitzpatrick

Running Backs (5)

Halfbacks: Chris Johnson, Shonn Greene, Jalen Parmele and Darius Reynaud
Fullback: Quinn Johnson

Offensive Line (8)

Chance Warmack, Andy Levitre, Michael Roos, David Stewart, Byron Stingley, Fernado Velasco, Daniel Baldridge and Brian Schwenke

Wide Receivers (6)

Nate Washington, Justin Hunter, Kendall Wright, Damien Williams, Michael Preston and Kevin Walter

Tight End (3)

Craig Stevens, Delanie Walker, and Taylor Thompson

DEFENSE (26)

Defensive Line (9) 

Jurrell Casey, Sammie Lee Hill, Mike Martin, Kamerion Wimbley, Derrick Morgan, LeVar Edwards, Karl Klug, Antonio Johnson, and Ropati Pitoitua

Allergic to contact my hindparts

Linebackers (7)

Akeem Ayers, Zach Brown, Colin McCarthy, Zaviar Gooden, Moise Fokou, Tim Shaw and Greg Jones

Defensive Backs (10)

Cornerback (5)

Jason McCourty, Alterraun Verner, Coty Sensabaugh, Blidi Wreh-Wilson, and Khalid Wooten

Safety (5)

Bernard Pollard, George Wilson, Michael Griffin, Al Afalava and Damion Stafford

SPECIAL TEAMS (3)

Place Kicker (1)

Rob Bironas

Punter (1)

Brett Kern

Longsnapper (1)

Beau Brinkley

NOTES:

Competition is going to be very steep at all positions this year. I went a bit heavy on defense and was tempted to go heavier with 10 defensive linemen but I just couldn't justify it. The last defensive line position was hard to pick as well. I had previously picked Keyunta Dawson to make the roster.

It was hard to choose the last linebacker spot and Patrick Bailey has been a very good special teamer for the Titans. Greg Jones has some injury issues so its possible Bailey could take that last spot but if he is healthy I just think Jones is the better linebacker. 

Also, I think its very possible the last cornerback spot will be a battle between Verner, Wooten and Tommie Campbell. I like Campbell he was a guy I identified his first year in camp as a possible starter in the making but some really bad decisions on special teams has cost him. I also like Verner but I think it's fair to see he could be the odd man out here if he struggles with press coverage. I put Wooten on the roster based on special teams ability which of course will be key to whoever earns the spot.

It's possible the Titans could go 4 at safety and add another cornerback spot but they were so light at the position in 2012 I just find it hard to believe. Since they run 3 safety packages it makes sense to me to have 5 safeties. I struggled not putting Tracy Wilson on the roster and that back end spot is of course up for grabs. I chose Stafford simply due to his special teams ability where of course any guy will need to excel to take that spot. 

On offense, I just don't see the Titans carrying 3 quarterbacks this season even though Locker has an injury history. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a good backup and has been very durable in his career. I do expect the Titans will carry a quarterback on the practice squad who does what Locker and Fitzpatrick can do in the offense. As much as I like Rusty Smith he just doesn't fit the mold.

I picked Quinn Johnson as the fullback but he and Collin Mooney had a fierce battle in camp last year and Mooney ended up on the roster at the end of the season. That is a battle to watch again this year. I almost didn't put Reynaud on the roster in lieu of adding another defensive back but I don't see the Titans going into the season with 3 halfbacks (although Johnson and Mooney could do in a pinch).

On the offensive line, I chose Velasco and Baldridge for versatility. Velasco because he can play both guard and center while Baldridge can play either tackle position. I think this is a big year for Stingley, a guy who stood out in camp last year but didn't see much action. Mike Otto can play tackle and guard so its possible he sneaks in on the back end in lieu of another guy. 

Finally, I put Kevin Walter at the back end of the receiver list but I think its entirely possible a young receiver could take that spot. In fact, the back end of the receiver roster in my opinion is wide open. I would put the only sure picks as Washington, Wright and Hunter. While uber talented, I think Kenny Britt will have to earn a spot this year along with everyone else. 

Bonus Pix:

So, there you have it. Who would you choose for your Titans 53 man roster?

Why I Expect the Titans Defensive Line To Ball Out in 2013

One of the areas where I expect the Titans to show improvement on defense is in the trenches. In fact, I expect the Titans defensive line to be outstanding in 2013. Better depth and rotation will allow Jurrell Casey, Derrick Morgan and Kamerion Wimbley to build upon solid 2012 seasons. I also expect to see guys shift and play different spots. Could the Titans have the best defensive line in the league in 2013? Let's take a look.

The 2012 defensive line was composed primarily of Jurrell Casey, Sen'Derrick Marks, Derrick Morgan and Kam Wimbley. Rookie Mike Martin rotated in at defensive tackle and performed quite well. Unfortunately, until the Titans signed Jarius Wynn they had very little rotation at defensive end and Morgan and Wimbley played the majority of the snaps. Karl Klug rotated sparingly at defensive tackle.

Let's begin by taking a look at the 2012 Titans defensive line by position, player and collective stats, starting with the interior line.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE JURRELL CASEY

The Titans selected defensive tackle Jurrell Casey in the 2011 draft and he has played primarily on the left side, although they do like to rotate and he has played in the right side too.

In 2012, Casey would play 789 snaps (68.7%) and register 3 sacks, 3 quarterback hits,  7 quarterback hurries, and 54 tackles.

In 2011, Casey would play 661 snaps (57.9%) and register 3 quarterback sacks, 4 quarterback hits, 5 quarterback hurries, and 52 tackles. 

DEFENSIVE TACKLE SEN'DERRICK MARKS

The Titans selected defensive tackle Sen'Derrick Marks in the second round of the 2009 NFL draft (overall #62). Like Casey, he has played both sides but he settled into the right defensive tackle spot in 2012 where he primarily played.

In 2012, Marks assumed a starting role playing primarily at the right tackle position. He would notch 2 quarterback sacks, 6 quarterback hits, 12 quarterback hurries, 5 batted passes and 41 tackles. He played 691 snaps which was almost 70% of the the defensive snaps.

In 2011, Marks played in all 16 games but sparingly only registering 417 snaps or 36.5% of the defensive snaps. He registered 1 sack, 1 quarterback hurry, 3 quarterback hits, and 24 tackles.

In 2010, Marks would play 13 games, 473 snaps, and register 1 sack, 6 quarterback hits, 10 quarterback hurries, 2 batted passes and 22 tackles.

In 2009, Marks would play 200 snaps (32.3%) and register 1 quarterback sack, 4 quarterback hits, 1 quarterback hurry and 12 tackles.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE KARL KLUG

The Titans drafted defensive tackle Karl Klug in 2011 NFL Draft. He earned significant playing time his rookie year and led all rookie defensive tackles in sacks with 7 sacks. Klug had a down year in 2012 but is expected to earn playing time in rotation in 2013.

In 2012, Klug would play 253 snaps (22%) and register 4 sacks, 2 quarterback hits, 11 quarterback hurries, and 7 tackles.

In 2011, Klug would play 520 snaps (45.5%) and register 7 sacks per the NFL (6 per PFF), 5 quarterback hits, 13 quarterback hurries, 4 batted passes and 20 tackles.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE MIKE MARTIN

The Titans drafted defensive tackle Mike Martin in the 2012 NFL Draft. Martin earned significant playing time in 2012 and rotated between the left and right tackle position. In 2012, Martin would play 435 snaps (37.9%) and register 3 sacks, 8 quarterback hits, 15 quarterback hurries, and 37 tackles.

DEFENSIVE END KAMERION WIMBLEY

The Titans signed former Raiders and Browns defensive end/linebacker Kamerion Wimbley to a free agent contact during the 2012 offseason, and he started all 16 games at the right defensive end position. In 2012, Wimbley would play 924 snaps (80.5 %) and register 6 sacks (7 per PFF), 1 forced fumble, 4 quarterback hits, 47 (!!) quarterback hurries, and 30 tackles.

2012 DEFENSIVE STATS

2011 DEFENSIVE STATS

2010 DEFENSIVE STATS

2009 DEFENSIVE STATS

2008 DEFENSIVE STATS 

Kam Wimbley has played a variety of positions and transitioned with the Titans from playing primarily strongside and right outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense to playing right defensive end in a 4-3 alignment. This required him to put his hand in the dirt and it was apparent early he struggle a bit with the adjustment. Once he became comfortable, he really came on, He would registered the bulk of his sacks, hits and hurries from games 6 through 12 although he would also put up a sack and a hit in game 17.

DEFENSIVE END DERRICK MORGAN

The Titans drafted Derrick Morgan in the 2010 NFL draft out of Georgia Tech and he started his first season. Unfortunately, his rookie campaign was cut short by an ACL tear and he struggled with some nagging issues in 2011. 2012 was really a breakout year for Morgan who looks primed to be a real force in 2013. In 2012, Morgan would play 930 snaps (81 %) and register 6.5 sacks (9 per PFF), 42 quarterback hurries, and 59 tackles.

2012 DEFENSIVE STATS

2011 DEFENSIVE STATS

2010 DEFENSIVE STATS

ANALYZING THE DATA

This is the Titans current depth chart. It doesn't appear to be very accurate for several reasons. One, the Titans have moved Scott Solomon to strongside linebacker, a move I like a lot. At 6' 3" and 270, Solomon always struck me as a bit light at defensive end. Second, I don't think you can peg Karl Klug anywhere as the Titans have said he will play both inside and outside, another move I like and will address in depth later. 

This is how I expect to see the roster shake out:

LDE: Derrick Morgan and Levar Edwards 

LDT: Sammie Hill and Mookie Johnson

RDT: Jurrell Casey and Mike Martin (who could also be a swing guy)

RDE: Kamerion Wimbley and **Keyunta Dawson

OLB1: Akeem Ayers and Scott Solomon

MLB: Colin McCarthy and Moise Fokou

OLB2: Zach Brown and Zaviar Gooden

LCB: Jason McCourty and Coty Sensabaugh

SS: Bernard Pollard and Al Afalava

FS: Michael Griffin and George Wilson (another swing guy)

RCB: Alterraun Verner, BW3 and Tommie Campbell

SWING PLAYERS:

There are several defensive players I see playing a variety of positions and the primary candidates on the line are Karl Klug and Ropati Pitoitua. Both guys will rotate inside and outside depending on the circumstances. Klug I see rotating in at strongside defensive end and behind Hill at the tackle spot on the left. He could also rotate inside on the right as he has in the past as well. Pitoitua I see playing both positions inside in the base 4-3 and possibly nose tackle or both end positions in a 3-4 package.

Speaking of shifting and rotating, mark my words (you saw it first here) but the Titans will rotate and shift their defensive linemen even more in 2013. It wouldn't surprise me at all to see Morgan and Wimbley play opposite sides in some hybrid looks. Nor would it surprise me to see Morgan play inside and Wimbley shift to the linebacker spot on occasion. You can also expect to see Wimbley play OLB in a 3-4 look.

NEW ADDITIONS:

The Titans added Sammie Lee Hill and drafted Levar Edwards. I previously took an in depth look at the difference between Hill and Marks. At least on paper this looks like an upgrade at the position although I do expect him to still rotate extensively. LeVar Edwards strikes me as a prototype left defensive end with good speed and quickness to rush the passer plus he is stout against the run. I think he will be a big contributor early on and will rotate in primarily on the left with some work on the right. Bonus factor in that he can also rotate inside and you can expect to see that happen too.

Finally, while this may not qualify as a "new" addition the Titans did hire as "special assistant" an old face in former defensive coordinator Gregg Williams. I wasn't fond of the move, but I do understand it and regardless of title Williams will be the force behind the defense. Williams has said he watched a lot of film during his suspension and you can bet he spent some time watching how the Bengals successfully rotate their front 7. I have also written about how I expect you will see Williams run the 4-4 defense too.

PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER

I love the Titans making Karl Klug more versatile and using him in different ways. Klug got lost in the numbers game in 2012 but has the ability to make a difference whether it is inside or outside. Klug's game is built on his ability to get off the ball incredibly fast and his excellent hand and feet work to elude pass blockers and get to the quarterback. Officially listed at 6' 3" and 275, Klug could still add 10 pounds without losing his explosiveness while improving his strength. I expect Klug to garner more playing time in 2013 as the Titans focus on utilizing his skills. Again, I see him rotating at right defensive end while continuing to rotate in at both defensive tackle spots.

Furthermore, better rotation at defensive end will free Morgan and Wimbley up to build on 2012 and continue to make plays. Here are some little known and even worst unrecognized facts about Morgan and Wimbley from PFF. Both Morgan and Wimbley placed in the top 5 hurries amongst 4-3 defensive ends. Morgan also ranked 2nd amongst left defensive ends for number of quarterback hits. Morgan was ranked 5th in quarterback hurries for 4-3 left defensive ends while Wimbley ranked 2nd in the league amongst 4-3 right defensive ends in quarterback hurries. Both Morgan and Wimbley were ranked 7th at their respective positions at defensive ends for number of sacks.

The Titans defense was much maligned in 2012 but with improvement at the tackle position and better depth this line is poised to be a factor. I'm just not sure how I like the move of Casey to the right side. Casey is a very good 3 technique defensive tackle. I thought perhaps they might put Hill at right defensive tackle.

Here are some more stats per PFF. Casey was tied at 8th at 50% of snaps in the league amongst all defensive tackles at run stop percentage. At 75% of snaps, he moved up to 2nd place in run stop percentage. He only ranked 27th at pass rush productivity but at 60% stats moved up to 19th. This surprised me although I do wonder if all the attention he garnered was a contributing factor. For DT's playing at least 25% snaps at pass rush productivity Mike Martin came in 4th while Karl Klug came in tied at 5th. Hill ranked 15th in pass rush productivity at 25% of snaps.

Generally speaking, you want your quickest and most agile tackle playing the left tackle position while the right tackle must be able to effectively occupy multiple blockers. In 2012, Casey regularly garnered double and triple teams and showed he was capable of handling the attention. Still, unless Hill is a better 3 technique candidate it makes more sense to keep Casey on the left side. I look for the Titans to rotate both guys to see where each fits the best. I see advantages to Casey playing either tackle spot and with Hill looking like an upgrade the interior should be greatly improved no matter how you slice it.

In sum, the Titans have added pieces to make their line bigger, quicker and more versatile. Versatility being the key word here as you can expect the Titans to line up in a variety of ways in order to disguise where the pressure will originate. All this should make for a more effective pass rush and a greatly improved run defense. I expect to see the defensive line rotate players and positions regularly and that it will equate to a better overall defense in 2013.

Can the Titans defensive line be the best in the league in 2013? I think so but only time will tell.

A FEW NOTES: 

Since some people have asked I want to mention a few things. One, yes I do think Akeem Ayers could slide to defensive end on occasion. I didn't address it here but I plan to take a similar look at the linebackers so stay tuned. Also, no I didn't put Karl Klug or Ropati Pitoitua on the depth chart for reasons I address in the section on swing players. Point being they will play multiple spots and putting in a pigeonhole wasn't my purpose. Yes, I think they make the roster.

**Also, now that I have looked at the roster, I think either Pitoitua or Dawson will be a victim of numbers and I went with Pitoitua. It will be interesting to see how the competition on the back end shakes out during training camp.