Thursday, May 30, 2013

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Locker Up - How Good Does the Titan Quarterback Need to be in 2013?

Much of the Titans offseason talk has included discussion of third year quarterback Jake Locker, his "accuracy issue" and whether Ryan Fitzpatrick could push him for a starting job. In my "hot seat" list I did include Locker for reasons that are readily apparent in the article. Clearly Locker has to improve on his 2012 season. Having said that, I do believe there is potential for expectations to be too high for Locker. Why do you ask? Let me explain.

Locker was drafted in the first round of the 2011 NFL Draft and played sparingly his first season. With limited snaps however, he looked good.


I think we often forget how good Locker looked that year and how excited everyone was about what they saw in his performance. Sadly, his performance in 2012 was marred by injury, not only to himself but on the offensive line. Add to that inconsistency in the running game and some inexcusable drops from his receivers and his 2012 looks bad.

Two things in particular concern me about Locker's 2012 and neither really have to do with "accuracy" per se. One, he had 11 batted passes and that didn't appear to be an issue in 2011 (he had 2). His release point does seem a little low and how much of that was attributed to guarding and his left shoulder injury is a question mark for me. Regardless, that is an area he must work on.

OUCH

Locker took 5 sacks in his rookie campaign out of 76 dropbacks. In 2012 he took 25 sacks out of 370 dropbacks. His most significant injury occurred when he was sacked by Glover Quin. Of course, this isn't all Locker's fault. Chris Johnson needs to block better for one. I also think former offensive coordinator Chris Palmers' system contributed. Still, Locker has to recognize pressure better and operate to protect himself and the football. He also fumbled the football 4 times (all of them lost) in 2012 usually at inopportune times (is there ever an opportune time?).

All of this leads to the question of how good Locker needs to be in 2013 to satisfy the coaching staff and owner Bud Adams. Really what the fans think isn't that important. They say winning cures all and certainly winning more games in 2013 will help. Here is where I think the Titans would like to see improvement in 2013.

TIME OF POSSESSION

The Titans time of possession stats in 2012 were beyond atrocious. I wrote about it extensively in my game blogs if you are interested. While not all a product of the passing game that certainly contributed and this is a stat I believe without a shadow of a doubt the Titans want to see improved.

RED ZONE SUCCESS

The Titans ranked 22nd in the NFL in red zone scoring percentage based on touchdowns only. This is down significantly from 2011 and it is beyond embarrassing that they ranked only 25% efficiency in the red zone at LP Field. Not coincidentally, they also finished in the bottom half of the league in scoring points at 23.

PASSING EFFICIENCY

I labeled this efficiency and not accuracy with good reason. I have said time and again I think the accuracy issue is overblown. I think the Titans would far prefer to see less sacks, less batted passes and more production than they care about whether Locker throws a pretty pass. The first I have alluded to but one more stat I find discouraging from Locker's 2012 season is that his yards per attempt fell dramatically. Of course, the 2011 season is a small sample size and 6.9 isn't terrible. Locker ranked 18th amongst starting NFL quarterbacks in yards per pass thrown but dang if that 8.2 from 2011 isn't enticing. The Titans passing game ranked 22nd in the NFL in passing yards per game.

OFFENSIVE PRODUCTION

Obviously this is a catchall phrase and area but really if the Titans score points and win games isn't the goal accomplished? The Titans in 2012 finished in the lower half of the NFL in points, passing yards, rushing yards and total offensive yards. Per Football Outsiders, the Titans offense was ranked 29th in the league in offensive efficiency. Offensive production doesn't occur in a vacuum and in order to have a successful one the Titans must operate on all cylinders. Of course he was injured, but I expect the Titans to make better use of Locker's ability to operate out of the pocket and make plays in 2013 whether passing or running.

What are your expectations for Jake Locker in 2013?

NOTE: THIS IS MY LATEST BLOG FROM BREATHE IF YOU LOVE FOOTBALL

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Check Yo Self - Have I Been Fair to Mike Munchak?

Check Yo Self  "Ice Cube"


I have written a lot about the current state of Mike Munchak's job status and his tenure as the head coach of the Tennessee Titans. Clearly this is a key year for Munchak who suffered through a disappointing 6-10 season with the Titans in 2012 that was topped off by embarrassing losses to the Minnesota Vikings (30-7), Chicago Bears (51-20) and Green Bay Packers (55-7). They say time heals all wounds but that last one was particularly bad since I had the pleasure (or maybe misfortune) to see it in person.
Recently, I began to think about Munchak's status and whether *I* have unfairly criticized him and whether the 'hot seat" status I have placed on him is unfair. To be fair, I do think Munchak simply has to produce better in 2013. Munchak is signed through 2014 but the lesser of two evils beyond firing is to be on "lame duck" status. I'm certain Munchak would prefer to have the type of season that owner Bud Adams views extension worthy. The definition of what season justifies an extension might be debatable but clearly being in the playoff hunt is mandatory.
Part of the genesis of this blog arose out of my look at the last 3 years of the Titans draft picks under former head coach Jeff Fisher and my comparison of the 2011 and 2012 drafts under current coach Mike Munchak. Then I considered the circumstances leading up to Munchak's ascension to the head coaching position and questions arose. I truly do try to be as fair as possible and I now wonder if perhaps i have been unfair.
PULL MY FINGER I DARE YOU
Munchak, who had never been more than offensive line coach for the Titans, was elevated to head coach on February 7, 2011. The Titans had parted ways with former head coach Jeff Fisher on January 27, 2011 after what can only be described as a turbulent offseason that also led to the departure of former first round pick and Bud Adams' "golden boy" Vince Young on January 5, 2011. Adams had only recently committed to Fisher coaching out the final year of his contract after apparently winning out an internal battle between Fisher and Young. I won't go into the details of their troubled relationship as they are readily available and widely known.

My point is that Munchak essentially took over a franchise that was clearly fractured, in disarray and in badly need of a makeover. Munchak himself apparently believed change was necessary in his first presser. The new regime took over just two months away from the 2011 draft with no franchise quarterback and badly in need of a plan. The harsh reality is that change rarely happens overnight and Munchak inherited a team with a lot of issues. The Titans would select Jake Locker with the #8 overall selection and sign veteran Matt Hasselbeck. They also added safety Jordan Babineaux. Otherwise, the free agent signings had very little impact. Amazingly, that team would finish 9-7 in what can only be considered an overachieving year characterized by excellent play overall from quarterback Matt Hasselbeck.

The 2012 offseason was dominated by the competition between incumbent quarterback Matt Hasselbeck and 2011 first round draft pick Jake Locker. The Titans were looking to improve on 2011 and added another solid draft class. They also signed defensive end Kamerion Wimbley and left guard Steve Hutchinson. The other free agent signings during the 2012 offseason had very little impact. The Titans would finish 2012 with a 6 and 10 record.


Look, I am not going to excuse the Titans performance in 2012 and I have discussed a lot of the reasons why the team under-performed elsewhere but geez Louise if it go could wrong it did for the Titans. An offensive line that has been long overrated (at least in the interior) was decimated by injuries and the safety position was a hot mess caused in large part by the coaching staff. On top of that quarterback Jake Locker hurt his left and non-throwing shoulder in the first game and would later suffer re-injury to the same shoulder and miss the bulk of the middle of the season. On his return, he was faced with a patchwork offensive line that left him in large part running for his life.

Having said that, that overrated offensive line was a product of Mike Munchak and offensive line coach Bruce Matthews. While Rome wasn't built in a day the free agent signings to date haven't made a big impact, and the players Munchak has played since taking over as head coach have largely been draft picks and players from the Fisher era. How long should it take to do a complete team makeover? That is the question I am currently pondering.


You often hear the media and fans talk about letting college football coaches "build a roster" suited to their style before judging their performance. The average seems to be between 3 to 5 years. The extent to which that happens in reality is debatable for certain but the concept is surely there. Here is some more reality in that most teams that are fractured the way the Titans were rarely recover quickly and usually it takes exceptional circumstances for it to happen.

Look, we know the NFL is a results driven league. However, Munchak is entering his 3rd year as head coach of the Tennessee Titans and generally speaking the first year you expect a coach to field a team with the majority of his hand picked players. While certainly a key year for Munchak and the Titans, should this year make or break his tenure as head coach? This is the question I am currently pondering.

A Look at the 2008, 2009 and 2010 Tennessee Titans Draft


















This blog was inspired by a tweet from Gene Frenette who covers the Jacksonville Jaguars and who tweeted about the last 3 years of former General Manager Gene Smith and their number of draft picks still on the roster (half of them are gone). So I decided to take a look at the last 3 drafts under former head coach Jeff Fisher.

2008 NFL DRAFT

2008
1.24RB Chris Johnson East Carolina  
2.23DL Jason Jones Eastern Michigan  
3.22TE Craig Stevens California  
4.04DL William Hayes from ATL through WAS
4.27WR Lavelle Hawkins California from DAL
4.35LB Stanford Keglar Purdue compensatory pick
7.22DB Cary Williams Washburn  

Of the 2008 Tennessee Titans draft picks, only 2 remain and those are running back Chris Johnson and tight end Craig Stevens. Jason Jones, William Hayes and Cary Williams are still in the league and Hayes plays for Fisher now in St. Louis, Jones for former Titans defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz in Detroit, and Williams for Philadelphia. Hawkins was cut by the Titans last month and signed a 2 year deal with the Patriots. Keglar is a free agent.

2009 NFL DRAFT

 2009
1.30WR Kenny Britt Rutgers  
2.30DL Sen'Derrick Marks Auburn  
3.25TE Jared Cook South Carolina from NE
3.30DB Ryan Mouton Hawaii  
4.30LB Gerald McRath Southern Mississippi  
4.35OL Troy Kropog Tulane compensatory pick
5.37RB Javon Ringer Michigan State compensatory pick
6.30DB Jason McCourty Rutgers  
6.33WR Dominique Edison Stephen F. Austin compensatory pick
7.30OL Ryan Durand  
7.33DB Nick Schommer North Dakota State compensatory pick

Like the 2008 Titans draft, only 2 remain and they are Kenny Britt and Jason McCourty. Britt's issues are well known. McCourty is a good corner and the Titans signed him to an extension on August 23, 2012. Cook now plays for Fisher in St. Louis and Marks signed a one year deal with the Jackonsville Jaguars. Kropog is a reserve lineman for the Vikings and Durand is a reserve lineman for the Kansas City Chiefs. The remainder are currently free agents.

2010 NFL DRAFT

 2010
1.16DL Derrick Morgan Georgia Tech  
3.13WR Damian Williams  
3.33LB Rennie Curran Georgia Compensatory Pick
4.06DB Alterraun Verner UCLA from SEA
5.17DB Robert Johnson Utah  
6.07QB Rusty Smith Florida Atlantic from SEA
6.38DB Myron Rolle Florida State Compensatory Pick
7.15WR Marc Mariani Montana  
7.34DL David Howard Brown Compensatory Pick
Of the 2010 Titans draft class, Derrick Morgan, Damien Williams, Alterraun Verner, Robert Johnson, Rusty Smith and Marc Mariani remain. Morgan had a very good 2012 season and Verner has been a solid starter since his rookie year. Williams has played well with limited rotation at the receiver position. Mariani made an impact his rookie year as a returner on special teams and made the Pro Bowl. Mariani suffered a devastating injury during the 2012 preseason, breaking both his tibia and fibula and missed the season.  Johnson and Smith are still on the roster but Johnson received very bad reviews on his performance in 2012. None have received contract extensions and there has been no word of any negotiations. Curran, Rolle and Howard are out of the league. 

In case you missed it, and are interested, I took at a look at the 2011 and 2012 drafts under the new regime here:

2011 NFL DRAFT

2012 NFL DRAFT

I think its safe to say the jury is still out on the 2010 class and that the 2013 season will be big for those seeking to earn roster spots and/or extensions. I view the 2008 with mixed emotions. I was very disappointed the Titans let Jason Jones walk but he and Hayes have been rotational defensive linemen since leaving the Titans. Cary Williams had injury problems with the Titans but turned into a solid starter for the Ravens. The 2009 draft has to be labeled a disappointment in my opinion.

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

My First Look at the Titans Schedule


W            Sept. 8: at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m.

Call me crazy but I think the Titans can win this game. Let's not forget the Titans beat the Steelers last year in a well fought battle. Granted, that game was in Nashville and playing in Pittsburgh is a different animal but I expect to see a hungrier much improved Titans team in 2013 with so much at stake.

 L              Sept. 15: at Houston Texans, 1 p.m.

The Texans swept the Titans last year for the second time in team history, but I don't expect that to happen this year. The Titans will lose a tough game in Houston but split the series with a win at home later in the season. 

W            Sept. 22: vs. San Diego Chargers, 1 p.m.

The Titans lost to the Chargers last year in San Diego in the second game of the season when they were struggling mightily to cover tight ends. After inserting rookie linebacker Zach Brown into the starting lineup, that issue was largely resolved. The Titans largely failed to defend their home territory last season and as a matter or pride I expect they will rectify that issue in 2013. 

W            Sept. 29: vs. New York Jets, 4:05 p.m.

Which quarterback will the Titans face when theyface the Jets? You have to think it will be Geno Smith but regardless the Titans beat the Jets in 2012 and you have to think they will do it again.

W            Oct. 6: vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m.

This is an ambitious pick since I think the Chiefs are greatly improved and should be a better team under Andy Reid and Alex Smith. Having said that, the team is still in rebuilding mode and this is a home game. 

L              Oct. 13: at Seattle Seahawks, 4:05 p.m.

The Seahawks are a force to be reckoned with and a strong offseason in addition to an already stacked team leads to a blowout in Seatlle. I just don't see the Titans winning this game on the road as Seattle is a great team and its a tough place for visiting teams. 

L              Oct. 20: vs. San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 p.m.

The Titans once again face another NFC powerhouse this time at home. Unfortunately, the Niners are loaded and despite being a much improved team it's hard to imagine them pulling off this win at home. 

Oct. 27: Bye 

W            Nov. 3: at St. Louis Rams, 1 p.m.

The Titans travel to St. Louis to face the Rams and former head coach Jeff Fisher who is doing a good job rebuilding the team who beat him in the Superbowl. If the Titans lose this game to Fisher I will personally go down to Baptist Sports Park and whoop up on every single Titan I can find. 

W            Nov. 10: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m

The Titans should still be reeling over being one of two wins the Jags pulled off in 2012  during a dismal 2012 season. The Titans win this game over a division rival at home. 

W            Nov. 14: vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:25 p.m.

The Titans let their division rival the Colts sweep them in 2012 but I expect them to split the series in 2013. The Colts while good are still a few pieces away and the Titans should be hungrier and more motivated with so many having so much to lose in 2013.

W            Nov. 24: at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m.

I debated on this pick a lot and I do think it will be hard for the Titans to win in Oakland. It is a tough place to play but the Raiders just aren't there yet and much rests on how well Matt Flynn will perform as a full time starter. Still, I do think this is a game the Titans could very well lose unless they play tough disciplined football.

L              Dec. 1: at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m.

The Colts are 14-6 all time at home against the Titans and I expect them to split the series in 2013 with a win at home.  

L              Dec. 8: at Denver Broncos, 4:05 p.m.

I just don't see the Titans winning in Mile High City against the machine that is Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. 

W            Dec. 15: vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m.

The addition of Carson Palmer should help the Cardinals but they are still clearly a team in transition. The Titans should win a tough fought battle at home.

W            Dec. 22: at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m.

The Titans went to Jacksonville and let the Jags beat them in an embarrassing loss in 2012. It was one of only two wins for the Jags and the Titans put in an inexcusably poor performance coming off their bye week. They can redeem themselves by sweeping the series in 2013.

W            Dec. 29: vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m.

Can the Titans win at home and prevent the Texans from sweeping them again? Will this be a meaningless game for the Texans who might be resting players in preparation for the playoffs? I put this down as a win at home but  this is another game that could clearly go the other way depending on how the 2013 season plays out.

FINAL RECORD: 11 AND 5
ALTERNATIVELY: 9 AND 7

Monday, May 6, 2013

Titans on the Hot Seat in 2013 - Players

Obviously the entire Titans organization is on notice to produce in 2013 but there are several Titans management, coaches and players who in particular are on the hot seat in 2013. Which ones are they? I previously took at look at Titans on the Hot Seat in 2013 - Management as well as Titans on the Hot Seat in 2013 - Coaches but now let's take a look at which players are on the hot seat, starting with the most obvious of all choices.

PLAYERS

QUARTERBACK JAKE LOCKER

Entering his third season, quarterback Jake Locker looks to rebound from a disappointing 2012 campaign. During the 2012 offseason, Locker won a "quarterback competition" that some believed was weighted in his favor and assumed the starting role over incumbent Matt Hasselbeck. He went into 2012 with high expectations.

Locker suffered an injury to his left non-throwing shoulder in the first game against the New England Patriots in the 4th quarter but returned to action in game 2 against San Diego. His shoulder was re-injured in game 4 (it was later revealed to be a separated shoulder) with the Houston Texans when he took a punishing blow from Glover Quinn. He returned to action in game 10 versus Miami. Overall, 2012 was a tough season for the young quarterback not only due to his own injury but to injuries to the offensive line. The offense was generally ineffective even when veteran Hasselbeck was under center.

Locker underwent offseason surgery to repair his left shoulder and is projected to be ready for training camp. Locker is under contract through 2014 and his salary is fully guaranteed (2013: $1,519,182, 2014: $2,091,273) per Rotoworld. The Titans exchanged Hasselbeck for veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick during the offseason but if Locker struggles in 2013 you would expect the Titans to hedge their bets. Analyzing the Ryan Fitzpatrick Move

Jake Locker bio

RUNNING BACK CHRIS JOHNSON

After struggling the first half of the season, running back Chris Johnson returned somewhat to form midway through the season, enough so that the "powers that be" who are on the hot seat such as coaches and management opted to pay Johnson his $2,000,000.00 signing bonus and absorb his $10,000,000.00 salary in 2013. Johnson has salaries of $8,000,000.00 in 2014 and $7,000,000.00 in 2015 and will be 28 years old at the beginning of the 2013 season. Unless he simply has an outstanding year in 2013 it is difficult to imagine the Titans, or any other team, paying him that type of salary. I wouldn't expect Johnson to renegotiate his contract with the Titans and therefore I don't expect to see him in two tone blue past the 2013 season.

WIDE RECEIVER KENNY BRITT


While troubled wide receiver Kenny Britt appears to have survived continuing offseason issues, an ACL injury in 2011, and an on the field disappearing act in 2012 to remain on the roster in 2013 his days as a Titan are likely numbered. Britt is incredibly talented and seems to be a likeable guy but he just doesn't seem to learn from his mistakes. Britt is also entering a contract year and is slated to make $1,347,500.00 in 2013. Regardless, Britt is playing for his next contract no matter the source and 2013 is a huge year for him.

MIDDLE LINEBACKER COLIN MCCARTHY

When healthy, middle linebacker Colin McCarthy is a force on the field. A 4th round draft pick out of Miami in in 2011, McCarthy became a started as well as a leader on the defense his rookie year. Sadly, injuries since then have marred what appeared to be a very promising beginning for the young linebacker. He appeared in only 7 games in 2012, losing time first to a high ankle sprain and later to a concussion. The Titans defense really suffers when McCarthy isn't on the field. He is signed through 2014 but if he can't stay healthy and produce in 2013 you can expect the Titans to start looking at their options.

OUTSIDE LINEBACKER AKEEM AYERS

Former UCLA linebacker Akeem Ayers has played every game since his rookie season in 2011 and he immediately became a reliable and at times impact player for the Titans. Along with fellow linebackers McCarthy and second year man Zach Brown, they form an exciting and promising trio. For Ayers however, the new rookie salary scale means he is playing for his next contract sooner than those in previous years and he is under contract only through 2014. So while not on the hot seat, I added him here because 2013 is definitely a key year for him as he enters "playing for your next contract" territory.

SAFETY MICHAEL GRIFFIN


Many expected the Titans might part ways with safety Michael Griffin after an up and down 2012 season but the Titans opted to pick up his roster bonus and absorb his $3,500,000.00 salary during the offseason. However, the Titans also signed safety George Wilson to a two year deal. Like Britt, Griffin is a gifted athlete who has shown flashes of greatness but with his salary escalating to $6.2 milly in 2014 this is a make or break year for the young safety.


CORNERBACK ALTERRAUN VERNER
Former UCLA cornerback Alterraun Verner is entering the final year of his rookie deal and will be a free agent in 2014. A 4th round pick in in 2010 and a solid player for the Titans, Verner has watched the Titans draft competition since his rookie year and has still retained his starting role. However, during the offseason and prior to the draft the Titans expressed an interest in adding a cornerback who can play press coverage and they drafted UConn defensive back Blidi Wreh-Wilson in round 3 of the 2013 draft. Verner seems headed to the slot where he will likely compete with second year man Coty Sensabaugh who had a solid rookie campaign.

DEFENSIVE END DERRICK MORGAN


Defensive end Derrick Morgan enters 2013 under high hopes that he can continue the promise and progress he showed in 2012. A first round draft pick (#16 overall) in 2010, Morgan's season was cut short by an ACL injury. He returned to action in 2011 playing 15 games but only showed flashes of the ability he showed while playing at Georgia Tech. Morgan had an underrated 2012 where he registered 9 sacks, 21 quarterback hits, and 42 quarterback hurries.. He also batted down 4 passes. Morgan is under contract through 2015, but that is a voidable year. While his salary in 2014 is certainly reasonable at $1.4 million he is definitely entering "playing for your next contract territory." 


DEFENSIVE END KAMERION WIMBLEY
Frankly, I hated adding Kam Wimbley to this list as he also had a very underappreciated 2012 along with fellow defensive end Derrick Morgan. Yet, first and foremost the NFL is a business and you have to wonder what the Titans will do as Wimbley's contract figures for 2014 through 2016 continue to escalate. Is it too early to add Wimbley to this list? Maybe so but with a salary of $6,000,000.00 it isn't out of the question to think that 2013 is a key year for him.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE JURRELL CASEY


Add Jurrell Casey to the list of Titans playing for their next contract. Casey has been outstanding and is entering the third year of a 4 year deal. The addition of Sammie Lee Hill should help Casey as he typically faced double and at times triple teams in 2012 and still managed to be an impact player. If Casey has the year you expect him to have, I look for the Titans to begin negotiating to extend him if the team plays well and there isn't a change in management/coaching. If there is, he could be playing for his next contract with another team if the new staff decides to go in a different direction.


DEFENSIVE TACKLE KARL KLUG


Another guy playing for his next contract is 3rd year defensive lineman Karl Klug. Despite a solid rookie campaign where he led all rookie defensive tackles in sacks at 7, Klug saw limited playing time in 2012. The addition of Mike Martin and a general change in philosophy toward bigger DTs clearly affected Klug's stock and he has to find a way to get back on the field because he is also only signed through 2014 and is playing for his next contract. 

OFFENSIVE TACKLE DAVID STEWART


David "Big Country" Stewart is a popular guy who is well liked and he has been a solid and dependable player since being drafted in the 4th round by the Titans in the 2005 NFL draft. Stewart broke his right leg in  game 13 of the 2012 season but it appears he will be ready for training camp. The Titans picked up his $1,000,000.00 roster bonus during the offseason and all appearances indicate they will absorb his $5,000,000.00 salary. Stewart is slated to earn $6.4 million in 2014 but it is a voidable year and he will be 32 years old. 

David Stewart bio

OFFENSIVE TACKLE MICHAEL ROOS


Like fellow lineman Big Country Stewart, but without the injury, Roos enters 2013 facing a voidable year at his contract in 2014 and his salary numbers are likewise high. He will earn $6,000,000.00 in 2013 and that escalates to $6.625 million in 2014 when he will likewise turn 32.

Mike Roos bio 

OFFENSIVE LINEMAN FERNANDO VELASCO


When the Titans tagged Fernando Velasco I truly expected he would be considered a lock at center. Velasco had an outstanding 2012 in his first year starting for the Titans. An undrafted free agent who spent 2 years on the practice squad before making the 53 in 2010 Velasco is a versatile lineman who can play both center and guard. Given that the Titans selected one of the best centers in the 2013 draft in Brian Schwenke, Velasco will be competing at center and guard for a spot on the roster in 2014.

Fernando Velasco bio

NOTES:

There are also several Titans who are playing under one year deals like Bernard Pollard that I didn't include on this list because of course 2013 would be key years. Also, there are other players you could add to the "playing for their next contract" list but I elected to go with only those players who have been or are expected to be key contributors. Finally, I didn't include Eugene Amano because with a 2013 salary of $3.685 it is hard to imagine he will be on the roster in 2013.

Titans on the Hot Seat in 2013 - Coaches

Obviously the entire Titans organization is on notice to produce in 2013 but there are several Titans management, coaches and players who in particular are on the hot seat in 2013. Which ones are they? I previously took at look at Titans on the Hot Seat in 2013 - Management  and now let's take a look starting at coaches.

COACHING STAFF

HEAD COACH MIKE MUNCHAK

Head coach Mike Munchak enters 2013 with one year left on his contract but with clear expectations that he and his team have to produce. For real security, the Titans need to make the playoffs for him to survive and remain head coach. Would owner Bud Adams accept anything less? I think anything less than 8-8 gets Munch fired and even that may not suffice. Of course, in large part the rest of the staff's fate rests on his shoulders but other coaches will be looked at for reasons beyond their fate with the Titans.


"DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR JERRY GRAY"

Those quotes are there for a reason. With the hiring of Gregg Williams, much speculation has been made over who will REALLY control the defense and I simply think it's Williams. While his one year suspension probably humbled him, Williams' personality is such that its hard to believe he won't be the real power in the defensive coaches room and the one who will really shape the defense in 2013. How will Gray handle this situation? Will he be  perceived to be a figurehead? Will he be an active participant? If so, how will that play out? You certainly hope this doesn't become a clown show and a distraction but it's hard to see this playing out very well. Two cooks in the kitchen usually make for a poor soup.


"SENIOR ASSISTANT/DEFENSE"
I already made my thoughts on the hiring of Gregg Williams known. The Thorny Issue of Gregg Williams Is it an overstatement to say Williams is the Titans coach who has the most to gain or lose in 2013? Williams' credentials are well known and he is clearly a good coach with a great defensive mindset the taint from Bountygate not withstanding. How well will he interact with "defensive coordinator" Jerry Gray? Will they ultimately clash over who is in charge? Will Williams natural personality and demeanor emasculate Gray? Even more importantly, will the Titans defense improve from a rather dismal 2012? Is it overstating the issue to say Williams needs 2013 to go extremely well in order to regain his reputation and revive his career? I don't think so.

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR DOWELL LOGGAINS

When the Titans fired Chris Palmer during the 2012 season and promoted Loggains to offensive coordinator expectations were high that the Titans offense would improve. That didn't happen but I for one think expectations were raised too highly that year. It is extremely difficult to take over during the season and make wholesale changes to an offensive scheme. Add into that the injury to Jake Locker, multiple injuries along the offensive line and the disappearance of Kenny Britt in the second half of games and the lack of production is understandable. Having said that, this is a big year for Loggains who has been viewed as an "up and comer" in coaching ranks and who could greatly increase his stock with a good year in 2013. I expect the Titan offense to be greatly improved not only with a revamped offensive line. The additions of Delanie Walker, Shonn Greene and Justin Hunter are going to prove to be exceptional in my opinion and I fully expect Loggains to take advantage of his new weapons.

QUARTERBACKS


I have already alluded to the performance of Jake Locker as a factor in the equation and perhaps no one has more riding on this season on the offense than Dave Ragone. The Titans made Locker a high draft choice in 2011 (# 8 overall) and his struggles in 2012 are well documented. Unfortunately for Locker and Ragone, the learning curve and production expectations for young quarterbacks have changed and they must change with the times. The days of letting a quarterback sit and learn are gone and young quarterbacks for better or worse are expected to perform early. For Ragone's sake, let's hope Locker returns to the guy we first saw when he played sparingly his first season in 2011.