Showing posts with label Forty Niners. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forty Niners. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

My First Look at the Titans Schedule


W            Sept. 8: at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m.

Call me crazy but I think the Titans can win this game. Let's not forget the Titans beat the Steelers last year in a well fought battle. Granted, that game was in Nashville and playing in Pittsburgh is a different animal but I expect to see a hungrier much improved Titans team in 2013 with so much at stake.

 L              Sept. 15: at Houston Texans, 1 p.m.

The Texans swept the Titans last year for the second time in team history, but I don't expect that to happen this year. The Titans will lose a tough game in Houston but split the series with a win at home later in the season. 

W            Sept. 22: vs. San Diego Chargers, 1 p.m.

The Titans lost to the Chargers last year in San Diego in the second game of the season when they were struggling mightily to cover tight ends. After inserting rookie linebacker Zach Brown into the starting lineup, that issue was largely resolved. The Titans largely failed to defend their home territory last season and as a matter or pride I expect they will rectify that issue in 2013. 

W            Sept. 29: vs. New York Jets, 4:05 p.m.

Which quarterback will the Titans face when theyface the Jets? You have to think it will be Geno Smith but regardless the Titans beat the Jets in 2012 and you have to think they will do it again.

W            Oct. 6: vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m.

This is an ambitious pick since I think the Chiefs are greatly improved and should be a better team under Andy Reid and Alex Smith. Having said that, the team is still in rebuilding mode and this is a home game. 

L              Oct. 13: at Seattle Seahawks, 4:05 p.m.

The Seahawks are a force to be reckoned with and a strong offseason in addition to an already stacked team leads to a blowout in Seatlle. I just don't see the Titans winning this game on the road as Seattle is a great team and its a tough place for visiting teams. 

L              Oct. 20: vs. San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 p.m.

The Titans once again face another NFC powerhouse this time at home. Unfortunately, the Niners are loaded and despite being a much improved team it's hard to imagine them pulling off this win at home. 

Oct. 27: Bye 

W            Nov. 3: at St. Louis Rams, 1 p.m.

The Titans travel to St. Louis to face the Rams and former head coach Jeff Fisher who is doing a good job rebuilding the team who beat him in the Superbowl. If the Titans lose this game to Fisher I will personally go down to Baptist Sports Park and whoop up on every single Titan I can find. 

W            Nov. 10: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m

The Titans should still be reeling over being one of two wins the Jags pulled off in 2012  during a dismal 2012 season. The Titans win this game over a division rival at home. 

W            Nov. 14: vs. Indianapolis Colts, 8:25 p.m.

The Titans let their division rival the Colts sweep them in 2012 but I expect them to split the series in 2013. The Colts while good are still a few pieces away and the Titans should be hungrier and more motivated with so many having so much to lose in 2013.

W            Nov. 24: at Oakland Raiders, 4:05 p.m.

I debated on this pick a lot and I do think it will be hard for the Titans to win in Oakland. It is a tough place to play but the Raiders just aren't there yet and much rests on how well Matt Flynn will perform as a full time starter. Still, I do think this is a game the Titans could very well lose unless they play tough disciplined football.

L              Dec. 1: at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m.

The Colts are 14-6 all time at home against the Titans and I expect them to split the series in 2013 with a win at home.  

L              Dec. 8: at Denver Broncos, 4:05 p.m.

I just don't see the Titans winning in Mile High City against the machine that is Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. 

W            Dec. 15: vs. Arizona Cardinals, 1 p.m.

The addition of Carson Palmer should help the Cardinals but they are still clearly a team in transition. The Titans should win a tough fought battle at home.

W            Dec. 22: at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m.

The Titans went to Jacksonville and let the Jags beat them in an embarrassing loss in 2012. It was one of only two wins for the Jags and the Titans put in an inexcusably poor performance coming off their bye week. They can redeem themselves by sweeping the series in 2013.

W            Dec. 29: vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m.

Can the Titans win at home and prevent the Texans from sweeping them again? Will this be a meaningless game for the Texans who might be resting players in preparation for the playoffs? I put this down as a win at home but  this is another game that could clearly go the other way depending on how the 2013 season plays out.

FINAL RECORD: 11 AND 5
ALTERNATIVELY: 9 AND 7

Saturday, March 16, 2013

A Look at Shonn Greene - Titans Bright Shiny New Running Back


During their spending spree in the first few days of free agency, the Titans signed former Jets running back Shonn Greene to a 3 year $10 million dollar deal that reportedly contains $4.5 million in guaranteed money. The Titans needed another back to compliment Chris Johnson so the signing makes sense in the larger picture. The conventional wisdom is that the Titans needed a power back to pair with "CJ2k" but is that what they are really thinking? Let's take a look.

The 27 year old Greene was drafted by the New Yorks Jets in the 3rd round (#65) of the 2009 NFL Draft. The Jets give up a 3rd (76), a 4th (115) and a 7th (228) round pick to move up and pick the former Iowa Haweye running back. Greene had a somewhat interesting career at Iowa but after doing some research I came to respect him even more than I already did. NFL Draft Profile
Greene entered the league at 24 and I was a bit concerned about mileage but he spent a year at Kirkwell College getting academically eligible to return to play for Iowa and he did not play football. Still, in his college career he ran 387 plays from scrimmage and racked up 2300 yards and 22 TDs (5.9 avg). One interesting note is that his college coaches almost converted him to linebacker and he did play some defensive back. His last year at Iowa, he rushed for 1850 yards on 307 carries (6.0 avg) with 20 TDs. He added 8 receptoins for 49 yards (6.1 avg). He was a consensus All American that year. Hawkeyes College Profile
I had a general sense of Greene due to my research prior to last season's Monday Night Football game, where I noted it was quite impressive he put up such respectable numbers while the Jets offense was pretty terrible (he did run behind a stellar offensive line). However, I went into this analysis without any preconceived notions in order to take a fresh look at Greene. What did I find? Let's take a look.



In 2009, Greene joined a Jets roster that also consisted of Leon Washington, Danny Woodhead and Thomas Jones. Jones would rush for 1402 yards on 331 carries that year. Greene himself would play 583 snaps, carry the ball 162 times for 846 yards and 4 TDs. He lost 3 fumbles. He was targeted 3 times in the passing game and had 1 reception for 4 yards. This averaged out to be about 24% of all offensive snaps.Not bad at all for a rookie year.  


In 2010, Greene assumed a larger role in the Jets offense this year running behind newly acquired Jets running back LaDainian Tomlinson. LT would tote the rock 219 times for 914 yards that year (4.2 avg). Greene himself would add 448 snaps and 230 carries for 968 yards (4.2 avg) and 3 TDs. He lost 2 fumbles.  In the passing game, he was targeted 25 times and had 17 receptions for 129 yards (7.6 avg) and 0 TDs. He played 35.4% of the offensive snaps.




In 2011, Greene assumed his largest role in the Jets offense even though LT was still on the roster and the Jets had added Joe McKnight. Greene played 577 snaps, carried the ball 253 times for 1054 yards (4.2 avg) with 6 TDs. He lost 1 fumble. In the passing game he was targeted 40 times for 30 receptions (an amazing 75% catch rate) for 211 yards (7.0 avg). He played 51.2% of the offensive snaps. 
In 2012, Greene assumed the bulk of the workload in the Jets running game. He played 583 snaps while carrying the ball 276 times for 1063 yards (3.9 avg) and 8 TDs. He lost 3 fumbles. In the passing game, he was targeted 26 times and had 19 receptions for 151 yards and 0 TDs. His catch rate was 73.1 % and he had an average per catch of 7.9. 
While these numbers are interesting, I don't believe they are illustrative of what Greene brings to the Titans offense. If you look a little bit closer, and compare him to Chris Johnson, you see why the Titans chose Greene to "compliment" CJ2K. Chris Johnson is fast but he simply isn't a very well rounded running. There, I said it. His blocking has never been very good.

2009

2010


2011


2012

Since 2009, CJ2K has never played less than 70% of all offensive snaps. In 2009 he played 86.4% of all offensive snaps. That same year he gave up 11 quarterback hurries. 

In 2010, CJ2K played 83.8% of the offensive snaps and gave up 1 quarterback sack, 2 quarterback hits and 7 quarterback hurries. 

In 2011, CJ2K played 70% of the offensive snaps and gave up 6 quarterback hurries. 

In 2012, CJ2K played 81.4% of the offensive snaps and gave up 3 quarterback sacks, 3 quarterback hits and 5 hurries.

By contrast, in 2009 Greene didn't give up anything although in all fairness he wasn't used very much in the passing game. That soon changed as his role gradually expanded in that capacity. 

2009



2010

2011

2012

In 4 full seasons, Greene has only given up 1 sack, 3 quarterback hits, and 8 quarterback hurries. By contrast over that time period, CJ2K has given up 4 sacks, 5 quarterback hits, and 29 quarterback hurries. 

I agree the Titans likely signed Greene to "compliment" CJ2K in the larger scheme of things. I do not believe he will be used strictly in short yardage situations and goal line opportunities. It simply doesn't make sense monetarily to sign him to the contract he got and only give him limited carries. Furthermore, Greene can help in the passing not only by blocking too as he was a pretty good receiver for the Jets. I could see the Titans getting CJ2K more involved in the passing game allowing him to take advantage of his speed. 

Furthermore, and this is pure speculation, but I also wonder if the Titans brought in both Greene and Delanie Walker to incorporate the "pistol read" into their offense. There have been varying reports on the extent to which they might use the currently popular scheme which some indication it is being considered. If so, Greene and Walker would appear to be perfect compliments to run the pistol. 

The San Francisco Forty Niners run this offense well and they do it often using a 2 WR, 1 TE and 2 RB personnel grouping. In its purest form, the Niners formation takes advantage of a power running game and a spread passing game. Walker is certainly familiar with this concept having just operated out of it in the Bay area. Greene adds the power running component the Titans didn't have on the roster. Let's not forget the Titans also just brought the powerful Quinn Johnson back as well. These pieces all add up to at the least the foundation for running the pistol.

In summary, I think the addition of Shonn Greene foreshadows some changes to the 2013 Titans offense that not only will help Jake Locker in a crucial year, but that fans are going to love.